Braves True-Talent Dashboard

Are we winning?

Rolling 15-game winning percentage. Dashed line is .500.

Runs scored vs allowed

Rolling 15-game averages. Blue above red is how you win.

True talent, both sides

Rolling 15-game expected wOBA: offense (higher is better) vs pitching allowed (lower is better).

Watch list, auto-flagged from the last 30 days

Harris II, Michael: expected production .344 season to .284 last 30 days, exit velocity down 3.4 mph.
Smith, Dominic: expected production .306 season to .244 last 30 days.
Lee, Dylan: hitters' expected damage up 0.071 points of xwOBA in the last 30 days.
Iglesias, Raisel: hitters' expected damage up 0.064 points of xwOBA in the last 30 days.
López, Reynaldo: fastball down 0.7 mph over the last 30 days; watch for fatigue or injury.
Kinley, Tyler: hitters' expected damage up 0.106 points of xwOBA in the last 30 days.
Ritchie, JR: hitters' expected damage up 0.068 points of xwOBA in the last 30 days.

Hitters · sorted by last-30-day expected production

Player	Season			Last 30 days											Read
Player	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	Δx*	Luck*	EV	Hard%	Brl%	Whiff%	Chase%	HR	Read
Olson, Matt	545	.385	.367	124	.391	.370	+3	+21	91.1	43.8	21.9	25.8	26.3	10	• steady
Baldwin, Drake	453	.363	.378	129	.374	.357	-21	+17	91.8	50.5	8.4	19.9	31.6	4	• steady
Acuña Jr., Ronald	321	.355	.373	85	.347	.349	-24	-2	90.8	50.0	14.3	31.9	33.7	6	• steady
Riley, Austin	496	.299	.303	106	.347	.343	+40	+4	95.8	61.4	22.8	34.9	33.5	5	▲ surging
Yastrzemski, Mike	316	.317	.310	54	.312	.333	+23	-21	91.6	41.7	11.1	23.5	26.1	3	• steady
Dubón, Mauricio	479	.323	.309	102	.258	.286	-23	-28	88.6	26.1	1.1	14.0	35.1	0	• steady
Harris II, Michael	479	.348	.344	117	.308	.284	-60	+24	86.8	42.4	5.4	24.1	41.2	4	▼ fading ▼ soft contact
Jarvis, Jim	117	.289	.276	80	.244	.272	-4	-28	86.5	37.7	0.0	20.0	27.0	0	• steady
Albies, Ozzie	534	.325	.288	119	.268	.265	-23	+4	86.0	30.0	5.6	21.1	43.2	6	• steady
Smith, Dominic	280	.322	.306	42	.317	.244	-62	+73	88.7	20.7	3.4	29.6	28.1	2	▼ fading ⚠ over water
White, Eli	144	.340	.269	19	.397	.196	-74	+202	82.5	21.4	7.1	26.8	39.4	1	• small sample
Mateo, Jorge	137	.299	.322	2	.000	.090	-231	-90	86.0	0.0	0.0	50.0	66.7	0	• small sample
Kim, Ha-Seong	85	.130	.207	3	.000	.087	-120	-87	86.6	50.0	0.0	16.7	25.0	0	• small sample

Pitchers · sorted by last-30-day expected damage allowed (best first)

Pitcher	Season (against)			Last 30 days (against)										Read
Pitcher	BF	wOBA	xwOBA	BF	wOBA	xwOBA	Δx*	Luck*	FB velo	Δvelo	Whiff%	Brl%	HR	Read
Sale, Chris	518	.268	.273	91	.222	.225	-48	-3	96.3	+0.3	31.7	4.0	0	▲ sharp
Dodd, Dylan	148	.240	.265	48	.268	.250	-15	+18	93.6	-0.2	27.4	3.3	1	• steady
Mahle, Tyler	44	.216	.254	44	.216	.254	+0	-38	92.9	+0.0	34.6	7.7	1	• steady
Hernández, Elieser	28	.333	.262	28	.333	.262	+0	+71	91.4	+0.0	28.8	5.6	1	↓ unlucky
Fuentes, Didier	219	.275	.272	62	.244	.264	-8	-20	97.5	+0.3	39.4	11.8	3	• steady
Mederos, Victor	86	.288	.278	61	.330	.294	+16	+36	96.7	-0.1	32.5	7.7	1	• steady
Pérez, Martín	455	.300	.323	122	.280	.299	-24	-19	89.4	+0.1	20.2	1.1	1	• steady
Lee, Dylan	208	.204	.236	52	.251	.307	+71	-56	93.2	-0.1	34.2	13.8	2	▼ fading ⚠ over water
Suter, Brent	34	.384	.331	34	.384	.331	+0	+53	88.4	+0.0	23.2	7.4	1	↓ unlucky
Elder, Bryce	579	.318	.311	144	.322	.331	+20	-9	91.2	-0.5	19.5	9.7	7	• steady
Iglesias, Raisel	189	.307	.286	62	.370	.350	+64	+20	94.0	-0.5	30.1	20.0	3	▼ fading
López, Reynaldo	306	.329	.332	46	.413	.352	+20	+61	93.5	-0.7	23.1	13.3	2	↓ unlucky ⚠ velo down
Holmes, Grant	507	.329	.336	131	.360	.358	+22	+1	93.5	-0.4	26.9	9.2	4	• steady
Kinley, Tyler	180	.335	.297	42	.424	.403	+106	+21	94.3	-0.1	24.6	14.8	3	▼ fading
Ritchie, JR	257	.329	.349	40	.358	.417	+68	-59	94.4	+0.0	23.9	20.8	2	▼ fading ⚠ over water
Young, Danny	65	.462	.407	48	.498	.423	+16	+75	93.8	+0.1	18.8	12.5	2	↓ unlucky ▼ whiffs gone
Bummer, Aaron	77	.441	.389	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	• small sample
Carrasco, Carlos	73	.377	.437	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	• small sample
Strider, Spencer	165	.352	.290	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	• small sample
Suarez, José	79	.375	.314	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	• small sample
Suarez, Robert	121	.225	.286	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	• small sample
Waldrep, Hurston	56	.418	.359	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	• small sample

Team	W-L	GB	L10
Braves	74-51	-	4-6
Phillies	68-58	6.5	6-4
Marlins	64-62	10.5	6-4
Nationals	60-66	14.5	4-6
Mets	57-69	17.5	7-3